LIVE FUTURES REPORT 11/09: Comex copper price recovers in opening session

Comex copper prices recovered in US morning trading on Monday September 11 after hitting a two-week low late last week amid technical selling and weaker-than-expected Chinese data.

Copper for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $2.70 or 0.9% to $3.0685 per lb.

The red metal had been steadily climbing since mid-August, but Friday’s sell-off sunk prices to a two-week low. However, the move is not expected to start a trend because the fundamental outlook solid for now.

“We do not think that Friday’s sell-off was fundamentally driven; rather, it was the result of a stretched positioning where leveraged market players were forced to close out their positions,” Metal Bulletin analyst Boris Mikanikrezai said. “But we expect buy-on-the-dips to re-emerge amid tighter present fundamentals.”

Copper’s recovery was capped slightly by news of softer-than-expected import data from China.

“[China’s] imports of copper products in August hit 390,000 [tonnes]. While this was up 11.5% year-on-year, the fact it was unchanged for a third month seemed to disappoint the market,” ANZ Research said.

“China’s power and infrastructure sectors, which account for approximately 4 6% and 9 .4% of copper end-use, respectively, will keep demand growth elevated in the largest consumer of refined copper. Additionally, over the longer term, rising electric vehicle production and renewable energy systems will bolster copper demand,” BMI Research said.

In the precious metals space, Comex gold for December settlement dipped $11.50 or 0.9% to $1,339.70 per oz.

Currency moves and data releases 

  • The dollar index remains week despite climbing 0.40% to 91.70. 
  • In other commodities, the Texas light sweet crude oil spot price was down 0.80% to $47.09 per barrel. 
  • Data out already today showed Japan’s core machinery orders climb 8%, better than the 4.2% rise expected; M2 money supply climbed 4%; tertiary industry orders climbed 0.1%; and preliminary machine tool orders climbed 36%. 
  • It is a quiet start to the week with few major data releases on the calendar, but the USA’s inflation reading for August and Chinese industrial production data will be out later this week.

What to read next
The publication of Fastmarkets’ European aluminium billet premiums assessments for Friday February 6 was delayed because of a procedural error. Fastmarkets’ pricing database has been updated.
Glencore’s share price fell sharply on Thursday February 5 after Rio Tinto confirmed it was no longer pursuing a potential merger, ending weeks of speculation about a combination that would have created one of the world’s largest mining companies.
The proposal to increase the publication frequency from monthly to weekly comes amid increased volatility of copper on the London Metal Exchange, while copper scrap discounts have been shifting on a more regular basis. This more frequent assessment will enable Fastmarkets to reflect market dynamics in a timelier manner, as well as capture more spot […]
Fastmarkets has corrected its assessments for Shanghai bonded nickel stocks on January 30.
Fastmarkets has corrected the rationale for its MB-AL-0346 Aluminium P1020A premium, in-whs dup Rotterdam, $/tonne that was published incorrectly on Thursday January 29.
Fastmarkets has corrected the rationale for its MB-AL-0299 aluminium 6063 extrusion billet premium, ddp Spain that was published incorrectly on Friday January 23.