2017 PREVIEW: Physical trading platforms likely to be new battlefield in China for metals trading

A challenging environment for commodities and a broken credit system in China are eating away at metal traders’ profit margins, fostering demand for safer and better-regulated places to carry out business.

To fulfil the increasingly pressing need for transparency and security, three powerful Chinese groups are at different stages of bringing new physical trading platforms to market.

Earlier this year, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) announced plans to launch a spot commodities trading platform in 2017 in mainland China. It will initially focus on base metals including aluminium and copper but will quickly extend into ferrous metals, energy, rubber and other commodities.

Leading Chinese base metals trader Maike is also working on a physical trading platform in Shaanxi Xi’an city, which is set to come online this month.

“Simply, trading no longer brings fat profits,” Maike founder and chairman He Jinbi told Metal Bulletin in an interview earlier this year.

And the China Smelters Purchase Team (CSPT), which represents ten major Chinese copper smelters, is also planning a metals trading platform in Shanghai. Jiangxi Copper is leading the project; the platform is awaiting government approval.

It is no coincidence that all three are working along similar lines given the attractive advantages – in terms of financing and settlement, for example – that such trading platforms could provide. Metals companies should find it easier to access financing from banks for on-exchange trading and payments between buyers and sellers will benefit from increased security.

But there are obstacles to changing trading habits among would-be users, for whom the major concern is whether these platforms will be backed by a reliable warehousing system, market participants said.

After the Qingdao fraud scandal broke in 2014, banks have become extremely reticent about accepting warrants and have generally tightened credit measures for financing in nonferrous metals.

This was not an isolated incident – in October this year, for example, a 550-tonne cargo of copper cathode was frozen at warehouses in Shanghai operated by storage company Yuqiang Minhang after a payment dispute arose between two Chinese trading firms – both sides claimed ownership of the metal.

This highlights the pressing need to reshape procedures and protocols for reasons of safety and transparency.

Maike’s He believes that the regulatory oversight provided by bringing trades onto a platform would end at a stroke these kind of disputes while Charles Li told investors that the Qianhai project will provide a reliable warehousing infrastructure.

While HKEX and Maike both paint an attractive picture in terms of revolutionising the traditional trading industry to create safer investment options, they will need time and effort to persuade users to get onboard.

Large-scale trading companies will wonder how to generate solid returns if they give up pricing power while smaller firms must be questioning how they might survive in a more regulated trading environment.

One thing is sure: there will be a battle for pricing power in the physical market in the coming year.

What to read next
The publication of Fastmarkets’ Shanghai copper premiums on Monday December 23 were delayed because of a reporter error. Fastmarkets’ pricing database has been updated.
Fastmarkets proposes to amend the frequency of the publication of several US base metal price assessments to a monthly basis, including MB-PB-0006 lead 99.97% ingot premium, ddp Midwest US; MB-SN-0036 tin 99.85% premium, in-whs Baltimore; MB-SN-0011 tin 99.85% premium, ddp Midwest US; MB-NI-0240 nickel 4x4 cathode premium, delivered Midwest US and MB-NI-0241 nickel briquette premium, delivered Midwest US.
The news that President-elect Donald Trump is considering additional tariffs on goods from China as well as on all products from US trading partners Canada and Mexico has spurred alarm in the US aluminium market at a time that is usually known to be calm.
Unlike most other commodities, cobalt is primarily a by-product – with 60% derived from copper and 38% from nickel – so how will changes in those markets change the picture for cobalt in the coming months following a year of price weakness and oversupply in 2024?
Copper recycling will become increasingly critical as the world transitions to cleaner energy systems, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in a special report published early this week.
Fastmarkets proposes to lower the frequency of its assessments for MB-AL-0389 aluminium low-carbon differential P1020A, US Midwest and MB-AL-0390 aluminium low-carbon differential value-added product US Midwest. Fastmarkets also proposes to extend the timing window of these same assessments to include any transaction data concluded within up to 18 months.