ASIAN MORNING BRIEF 26/10: LME base metals mostly drift lower; EU steel usage to rise in 2018-19 despite trade war; Vale anticipates base metals division transformation by 2020

The latest news and price moves to start the Asian day on Friday October 26.

Base metal prices on the London Metal Exchange were mostly lower at the close of trading on Thursday October 25 amid continued strength in the US dollar index, while stronger earnings reports and a broadly positive European Central Bank outlook safeguarded commodity investments. Read more in our live futures report.

Here are how prices looked at the close of trading:

Steel consumption in the European Union is expected to grow in 2018-19 but “trade frictions with the US and cooling global demand” might lead to weaker prospects for European steel users, regional steel association Eurofer said.

Expect a “completely different” Vale base metals division by 2020, especially with higher productivity and lower costs in the company’s nickel operation, senior executives at the world’s largest producer of iron ore and nickel said during a third-quarter earnings call.

Grupo Mexico, the largest Mexican miner, expects its production to surge next year, mainly led by copper and zinc. The company is undertaking a huge expansion program that will raise its copper output by almost 80% by 2025.

Buyers in the export market for pig iron from the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) have been keeping an eye on steel prices in the US, the world’s largest consumer of merchant pig iron. Fastmarkets’ export price assessment for high-manganese pig iron from the CIS rose $5 on the high end week on week to $360-375 per tonne.

Imported steel billet prices in Egypt widened upward by $5 per tonne to $480-490 per tonne cfr on Thursday, although demand in the country remained weak.

Brazil-based miner Vale plans small-scale acquisitions of assets connected to the company’s existing business lines and geographies, chief executive officer Fabio Schvartsman said.

What to read next
The publication of Fastmarkets’ Shanghai copper premiums on Monday December 23 were delayed because of a reporter error. Fastmarkets’ pricing database has been updated.
Fastmarkets proposes to amend the frequency of the publication of several US base metal price assessments to a monthly basis, including MB-PB-0006 lead 99.97% ingot premium, ddp Midwest US; MB-SN-0036 tin 99.85% premium, in-whs Baltimore; MB-SN-0011 tin 99.85% premium, ddp Midwest US; MB-NI-0240 nickel 4x4 cathode premium, delivered Midwest US and MB-NI-0241 nickel briquette premium, delivered Midwest US.
The news that President-elect Donald Trump is considering additional tariffs on goods from China as well as on all products from US trading partners Canada and Mexico has spurred alarm in the US aluminium market at a time that is usually known to be calm.
Unlike most other commodities, cobalt is primarily a by-product – with 60% derived from copper and 38% from nickel – so how will changes in those markets change the picture for cobalt in the coming months following a year of price weakness and oversupply in 2024?
Copper recycling will become increasingly critical as the world transitions to cleaner energy systems, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in a special report published early this week.
Fastmarkets proposes to lower the frequency of its assessments for MB-AL-0389 aluminium low-carbon differential P1020A, US Midwest and MB-AL-0390 aluminium low-carbon differential value-added product US Midwest. Fastmarkets also proposes to extend the timing window of these same assessments to include any transaction data concluded within up to 18 months.