COBALT FUTURES SNAPSHOT: CME traded volumes exceed 100 lots

Latest analysis from recent activity on the CME’s cobalt metal futures contract, cash-settled against Fastmarkets’ price assessment for cobalt standard grade, in-whs Rotterdam.

Key data 
Jan 20, 2021, 30 tonnes (10 tonnes each for March ($17.95 per lb), April ($18.00 per lb), May ($18.05 per lb)) 
Jan 11, 2021, 15 tonnes (5 tonnes each for February, March and April, all at $17.45 per lb) 
Jan 8, 2021, 30 tonnes (5 tonnes per month for January to June, all at $17.25 per lb) 
Jan 7, 2021, 15 tonnes (5 tonnes each for February, March and April, all at $16.75 per lb) 
Jan 4, 2021, 12 tonnes (4 tonnes each for January, February and March, all at $15.65 per lb) 
Dec 28, 2020, 3 tonnes (1 tonne each for January, February and March, all at $15.60 per lb)

The CME cobalt contract is traded in 1-tonne lots. As of Wednesday January 20, the contract had 95 tonnes of open interest.

Key drivers

  • Growing trade on the CME cobalt contract attributed to strong rally in physical cobalt metal prices since the beginning of the year, prompting buyers to hedge their exposure to rising purchasing costs and potential volatility in the longer run. 
  • Cobalt standard grade, in-whs Rotterdam price stands at $18-18.50 per lb, as of the January 22 assessment, up nearly 17% from $15.30-15.90 per lb at the end of last year.  
  • Strength in the Chinese cobalt market following State Reserve Bureau (SRB) stockpiling moves and tight hydroxide availability, and steady restocking activity from metal consumers elsewhere, are helping to keep cobalt prices underpinned.

Key quotes
“Clearly the EV and greener energy space is currently front and center globally, this cash-settled contract gives the whole supply chain an opportunity to mitigate risk, it also offers professional investors an excellent means to access upside to this exciting growing space” – Adam Mammon, Ocean Solutions LLC

“The reality is that some of the groups looking to hedge are not really in the market at the moment [due to uncertainty in some end-use segments], but the futures market is interesting in terms of attracting the financial players; it makes for a more dynamic market” – a trader

Join Fastmarkets on Wednesday January 27 for a free webinar: How to manage price risk and volatility in the cobalt market.

Our panel of market experts will come together to uncover the anatomy of the cobalt market, whether cobalt price volatility is set to continue, how the market has started to mature and how market participants can protect themselves against its risk.

Click here to register.

What to read next
Fastmarkets has corrected its MB-CO-0005 cobalt standard grade in-whs Rotterdam price assessment, which was published incorrectly on Monday January 13, 2024, due to a reporter error.
Fastmarkets’ decision follows a one-month consultation to discontinue its China domestic wire rod price because of small transaction volumes and because it is not a major price benchmark or key reference. The consultation received no feedback. The affected price is:MB-STE-0164 Steel wire rod (mesh quality) domestic, ex-whs Eastern China, yuan/tonneFastmarkets will keep its weekly price […]
Reducing reliance on China’s hugely successful critical minerals supply chain dominance was never going to be easy, as some western mining companies are finding out the hard way.
This adjustment aims to better align the publication with the operational hours of the Chinese market, ensuring domestic market participants have timely access to the prices. Additionally, because the Chinese lithium assessments reflect activity within the local market, this amendment is intended to provide a more efficient and market-relevant pricing for subscribers. The new specifications […]
Read more about how we expect a modest increase in 2025 levels of global crude steel production over 2024.
Chinese battery maker Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) has been added to the US Department of Defense’s Chinese Military Company (CMC) list.