Codelco offers 2023 copper supply to European clients at higher premium, sources say

Chilean state-owned copper producer Codelco has made a premium offer in the low- to mid-$230s per tonne to its key European clients for 2023 supply, sources have told Fastmarkets

The figure – which is charged on top of the London Metal Exchange copper price – marks an increase of approximately 80% from the premium of $128 per tonne that the world’s largest copper producer offered its European clients for 2022 supply.

An official offer is yet to be delivered to the rest of Codelco’s European clients, Fastmarkets understands. A commercial representative at Codelco said the producer would not disclose commercial details to the public and declined to comment on an inquiry from Fastmarkets regarding premium levels.

Two sources close to the matter told Fastmarkets on Thursday October 13 that the increase in the annual premium level was mainly due to rising costs in logistics and operations.

Codelco’s most recent offer is also higher than the $228-per-tonne level offered by German producer Aurubis for 2023 supply, which itself marks an increase of 85% from Aurubis’ offer of $123 per tonne for 2022 supply.

Upper hand

Copper producers could have the upper hand in 2023 negotiations with the European market expected to tighten once more long-term contracts for Russian units expire at the end of 2022, and with many participants showing caution in financing Russian metal next year.

Germany, the Netherlands and Turkey are traditionally major destinations for Russian cathode.

Spot copper cathode premiums in Europe rose to historic highs in the aftermath of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February but have since retreated.

Fastmarkets most recently assessed the copper grade A cathode premium, cif Rotterdam, at $50-100 per tonne on October 4, down from a high of $85-125 per tonne on July 26.

What to read next
Fastmarkets proposes to amend the frequency of the publication of several US base metal price assessments to a monthly basis, including MB-PB-0006 lead 99.97% ingot premium, ddp Midwest US; MB-SN-0036 tin 99.85% premium, in-whs Baltimore; MB-SN-0011 tin 99.85% premium, ddp Midwest US; MB-NI-0240 nickel 4x4 cathode premium, delivered Midwest US and MB-NI-0241 nickel briquette premium, delivered Midwest US.
The news that President-elect Donald Trump is considering additional tariffs on goods from China as well as on all products from US trading partners Canada and Mexico has spurred alarm in the US aluminium market at a time that is usually known to be calm.
Unlike most other commodities, cobalt is primarily a by-product – with 60% derived from copper and 38% from nickel – so how will changes in those markets change the picture for cobalt in the coming months following a year of price weakness and oversupply in 2024?
Copper recycling will become increasingly critical as the world transitions to cleaner energy systems, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in a special report published early this week.
Fastmarkets proposes to lower the frequency of its assessments for MB-AL-0389 aluminium low-carbon differential P1020A, US Midwest and MB-AL-0390 aluminium low-carbon differential value-added product US Midwest. Fastmarkets also proposes to extend the timing window of these same assessments to include any transaction data concluded within up to 18 months.
Fastmarkets invited feedback from the industry on its non-ferrous and industrial minerals methodologies, via an open consultation process between October 8 and November 6, 2024. This consultation was done as part of our published annual methodology review process.