Demand in DR pellet market improves on lower premium

Demand in the direct-reduced (DR) iron ore pellet market has improved, partly due to a lower premium in the second quarter, sources told Fastmarkets

Fastmarkets’ assessment of the iron ore DR-grade pellet premium, quarterly contract was $45 per tonne on Monday, down from $52 per tonne on January 4.

Fastmarkets’ calculation of the index for iron ore, 65% Fe Brazil-origin fines, cfr Qingdao, which has been used as the basis for DR pellet premium contracts since 2019, averaged at $140.33 per tonne in the first quarter of 2023, up from an average of $111.39 per tonne in the fourth quarter 2022.

In late February, Vale – the world’s largest supplier of iron ore pellets and a key price benchmark setter in the global market – reduced its DR pellet premium by $7 per tonne, to $45 per tonne for shipments in the second quarter. That was the third consecutive drop in Vale’s quarterly pellet premiums amid softer global demand.

“The market is strong, with good demand for pellets, and the current premium is suiting everyone,” one buyer said, adding that when the premium for the second quarter was agreed – in mid-February – there was no indication that demand would improve.

“We are now witnessing an improvement in the DR pellet market and, definitely, a reduced premium is one of the factors,” one supplier said, adding that “DR pellet demand has improved in all the Middle East and in the North African region. Egypt, however, is still affected by hard currency issues, but demand [for pellet] is there.”

“Seeing some steel price increases in Egypt and UAE – even more in the US – I would think the DR pellet supply would move toward tightness,” a second supplier said.

Despite demand improvement, the premium will not be revised, several sources on both the buyer and supplier side told Fastmarkets.

Although, “quality discounts for lower quality producers could narrow given the already low levels of DR premium for the second quarter,” the second supplier said.

What to read next
An accident on the major Moselle river earlier this week has led to some steel companies based in Germany and neighbouring countries scrambling for alternative logistical solutions to complete orders and source raw materials, Fastmarkets heard on Wednesday December 11.
Fastmarkets’ iron ore DR-grade pellet premium indicator was published earlier than scheduled due to an error on Wednesday December 11.
Prices for imported flat-rolled steel into the US were largely stable on Wednesday November 20, with market participants reporting thin trading and long lead times deterring them from engaging in the foreign markets.
A California federal jury has issued a $110 million anti-trust verdict against Commercial Metals Company on November 5, finding the Texas-based rebar producer liable for multiple anti-trust violations, while awarding Pacific Steel Group (PSG) millions of dollars due to lost profits and additional damages.
Asian steel hot-rolled coil prices have had difficulty rising in recent weeks due to a number of major themes in the market, sources told Fastmarkets.
Jinnan Iron & Steel Group is the latest company to join the push to expand China's steelmaking footprint in the Middle East and is working with Brazil's Vale to establish an iron ore concentration plant at the Sohar Port and Freezone in Oman, Fastmarkets understands.