Supply woes, scrap gains propel US HRC price to $63/cwt

Hot-rolled coil prices in the United States have hit another all-time high, driven by supply shortages and strength in domestic ferrous scrap pricing.

Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index, fob mill US was calculated at $63 per hundredweight ($1,260 per short ton) on Thursday March 4, up by 1.04% from $62.35 per cwt on Wednesday and by 1.86% from $61.85 per cwt on February 25.

Inputs were received across all three sub-indices in a range from $60-65 per cwt, inclusive of mill offers and general assessments of current spot market price levels.

Heard in the market
A worsening supply crunch, along with emerging strong upside in prime scrap prices in the March raw material trade, have worked in tandem to push Fasmarkets’ daily index to a new all-time record.

Sources said there are no immediate signs that the meteoric rise in hot band prices will abate anytime soon.

A southern service center source expects domestic producers to increase prices once this month’s scrap trade settles, with Detroit entering the market up $70 per gross ton on prime grades.

One end user source noted that producers in the US South are four to six weeks behind schedule, and the volume of imported hot band entering the market is not sufficient enough to pressure domestic prices.

Furthermore, with demand from key steel-consuming industries remaining strong, sources said the current bull market should have staying power through the end of the second quarter of this year.

Quote of the day
“I’m very worried about supply,” a consumer source said. “Steel is like searching for toilet paper during the initial onslaught of the Covid pandemic – shelves [are] all empty.”

What to read next
The publication of the following assessment was delayed: MB-AL-0052 Aluminum 6063 extrusion billet premium, delivered Midwest US, US cents/lb This price is a part of the Fastmarkets base metals package. For more information or to provide feedback on the delayed publication of this price or if you would like to provide price information by becoming a […]
Discover key insights from The Lumber Word Podcast on lumber market dynamics and the impact of current tariffs.
Sentiment was markedly lower during Shanghai Pulp Week 2025, standing in contrast to the bullish attitudes from a year prior. We focus on three main takeaways from our interactions with industry participants last week and conclude that a wait-and-see approach is likely to remain the dominant pattern in the short run. Key takeaways: US-Canada trade […]
Read more details on Fastmarkets' expanded suite of Middle Eastern scrap prices
No feedback was received during the consultation period and therefore no changes will be made to the methodologies at this stage. Full details of the prices covered by this consultation can be found here. This consultation, sought to ensure that our methodologies continue to reflect the physical market under indexation, in compliance with the International Organization […]
The decision follows a a one-month consultation, which started on Friday March 14 and ended on April 11, with the amendment taking effect from Wednesday April 16. No comments were submitted during the consultation period. Following the end of the consultation, the name of the index has been modified to steel scrap, sheared HMS 1&2 (80:20 mix), index, […]