Biofuels forecasts
Anticipate price movements and supply and demand dynamics across global biofuel and feedstock markets
Biofuel supply chain managers face several challenges in planning for raw material procurement and inventory management. These challenges stem from the inherent volatility and complexity of both the biofuel industry and the broader economic environment. In addition, frequent changes in government policies, subsidies and environmental regulations can impact market stability and affect all those who trade in the biofuels and feedstocks sector.
Fastmarkets’ analyses and forecasts are based on a holistic approach that considers relevant and market-reflective raw material price data and supply trends. They are designed to help you negotiate futures contracts, minimize risk and maximize profit margins.
Along with price forecasting, we offer credit price forecasting and margin comparisons. Equipped with this information, you can take actionable steps in generating greater profits.
Our biofuel forecasts include
- LCFS Credit price forecast
- Gross margin comparisons for renewable diesel and biodiesel (with and without credits)
- Revenue vs cost differences for renewable diesel and biodiesel
- Renewable diesel vs biodiesel costs breakdowns of feedstock inputs such as DCO, UCO, YG, SBO, etc.
- Impacts of credit values on renewable diesel and biodiesel
- RIN price forecast
- Spreads on heating oil to SBO
- HOBO forward curve
- Biodiesel, SAF and renewable diesel production and spreads
- EMTS Biofuels supply, production and imports
- Changes to the D4, D5 and D6 RINs
- US domestic ethanol
- EIA Production data, feedstock use, sales, etc.
Negotiate with confidence, enhance your procurement strategies and access higher profit margins opportunities
- Expert insight: Our expert analysts have in-depth knowledge of the market, including factors that may not be fully reflected in current market prices, such as upcoming policy changes, technological advancements or macroeconomic trends
- Customization: Our forecasts can be tailored to the specific needs of a client, considering unique circumstances or requirements
- Broader data consideration: Our forecasting services go beyond forward curves, as they use a wide range of data sources, including qualitative insights from industry insiders and quantitative data from a broad range of feedstock markets
Your benefits
Competitive advantage
Our independent forecasts help you stay ahead of the market. Leverage our insights to secure a competitive edge in the fast-paced agriculture market.
Negotiate with confidence
Empower your futures contracts discussions with our unbiased and market-reflective forecasts. Make informed decisions, negotiate better deals and maximize your profit margins.
Risk assessment
Identify potential market shifts before they happen. Our forecasts help mitigate risks by providing early signals of market changes, enabling you to adjust your strategies in advance.
Save time on research
Leave the heavy lifting to us. Save time on research with our comprehensive market analysis and concentrate more on your core business activities.
Browse our agriculture market insights
Malaysia’s palm oil exports during March 1-15 totalled 381,790 tonnes compared with 422,425 tonnes the preceding month due to lower purchases from key destination markets, according to figures from cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services (ITS).The figure excludes shipments of soft oils, coconut oils and used cooking oil (UCO), with the volume down by 10%, or […]
Markets thrive when they are informed and have a measure of certainty that includes benchmarks on which they can rely. Biodiesel producers in the US have been lacking this certainty, and a majority of their production capacity remains idled as a result. A Fastmarkets biodiesel production survey under way in the week ending Friday, March […]
The Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA) announced on Thursday, March 6, that it is opening an investigation to determine if the US is unfairly subsidizing and dumping renewable diesel in Canada; changing US biofuel policy seems to be a contributing factor in this investigation. The Blender’s Tax Credit (BTC), which expired on December 31, provided […]
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