Lithium long-term forecast

Get long-term clarity and market intelligence in the critical lithium market

Our lithium long-term forecasts are part of a set of products including long-term forecasts for cobalt, graphite, nickel, copper, manganese sulfate and recycled materials

Lithium is critical to electric vehicle (EV) and energy storage system (ESS) growth, but supply and price risks abound. Demand based on different battery chemistries is capitalizing on lithium properties while seeking to manage concerns about the availability and price of supply.

This is made more complicated as long-term supply is increasingly dependent on new projects where planned timing may materially differ from the actual timing, and on supply from lepidolite production and direct lithium extraction (DLE).

The Fastmarkets lithium long-term forecast leverages our 50-year heritage in providing price data and market intelligence in the lithium market. These insights are paired with expert economic modeling and data to provide market participants and investors with unmatched clarity on how the lithium market will evolve in the next 10 years.

The 10-year lithium long-term forecast includes:

  • Price forecasts for lithium (Li2CO3 and LiOH) 
  • Demand forecasts from the EV and ESS markets and from different car types and battery chemistries 
  • Supply forecasts including an in-depth review of future supply from existing and new producers and projects 
  • Supply/demand balances 
  • Access to analysts  
  • Analysis of the pricing mechanisms used, including the use of indexation 

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Understand how the lithium market will evolve over the next 10 years with our long-term forecast

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Read some of the latest market coverage from our team of price reporters, researchers and editorial team from across the globe

Electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers have been reaching upstream to producers, beyond their agreements with their battery manufacturing partners, to secure North American supply for their production, battery materials and technology company Novonix’s chief executive officer Chris Burns told Fastmarkets

POSCO Pilbara Lithium Solution (PPLS) will complete construction of Train 2 at its lithium hydroxide monohydrate conversion facility in Gwangyang, South Korea, by early December 2024, a company source told Fastmarkets, with delivery of the first batch of lithium hydroxide expected within two months from then.

Fastmarkets has corrected the rationale and trade log for MB-LI-0033 lithium hydroxide monohydrate LiOH.H2O 56.5% LiOH min, battery grade, spot price, cif China, Japan & Korea, which was published incorrectly on Friday November 22.

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